CCMC Flare Scoreboard
About
CCMC is in the implementation phase of the "Flare Scoreboard" together with Sophie Murray of the UK Met Office and the international research community. The flare scoreboard is an automated system such that model/method developers can upload their predictions automatically via anonymous ftps which will be parsed by the system. The forecasts are shown on an interactive display of SDO/AIA or HMI images, and will also be displayed together on a graph of probability vs. time.
Quick Links
- Flare Scoreboard - Click to view the beta Flare Scoreboard showing real-time full disk and region forecasts.
- Flare Scoreboard API - Use the Flare Scoreboard API to retrieve text or JSON files with data from the flare scoreboard database following the Heliophysics Application Programmer's Interface (HAPI) v.3.0 spec.
- Schema for JSON submission files (json-schema.org) (.json)
- Visual Schema for JSON submission files (.pdf)
- Example of JSON submission file (.json)
Latest News
➡ September 30, 2026: The Flare Scoreboard app is now a standalone application which is no longer integrated as an ISWA cygnet. The ISWA cygnet has been retired. See this annoucment for more details.
➡ As of August 6, 2025, MagPy v3 model's full-disk forecasts are available in the FLR SB. Previous version 2 has been retired.
➡ As of July 2025, DAFFS model's full-disk forecasts are available in the FLR SB.
➡ As of September 6, 2024, DAFFS model's regional forecasts are available in the FLR SB.
➡ The Flare Scoreboard 2.0 is under development. See our progress here.
➡ Active region forecasts are available in the Flare Scoreboard cygnet.
➡ Forecast probability vs time plots are available in the Flare Scoreboard cygnet.➡ See the agenda/materials of the ESWW15 working meeting: Flare Forecasting: where are we and where should we be going?➡ Flare scoreboard team members are involved in the ISEE/PSTEP "BenchMarks for Operational Flare Forecasts Workshop"➡ The Flare scoreboard is part of the the Solar Flare Working Team in the Community-wide International Forum for Space Weather Modeling Capabilities Assessment.➡ See the agenda/materials of the ESWW13 working meeting: Community-wide space weather Scoreboards: Research assessment of real-time forecasting models and techniques.
Currently registered models and participating partners
AMOS
Automatic McIntosh-based Occurrence probability of Solar activity
ASAP
Automated Solar Activity Prediction
ASSA
Automatic Solar Synoptic Analyzer
BoM
Data-driven probabilistic flare forecast model
MAG4
MAG4 LOS and Vector Magnetogram Forecasts (four products)
Met Office
Space Weather Forecast (full disk) and Sunspot Region Summary
SIDC
SIDC human operator moderated
SolarMonitor.org
Flare Prediction System
SPS
Solar Patrol Service
UFCORIN
Universal Forecast Constructor by Optimized Regression of INputs
Flare Scoreboard App Screenshot
Beta release: Feedback welcome.
Proposed forecast submission file format and Registration Questions
Flare scoreboard functions and workflow:
- Participants respond the questionnaire below to get started (see below).
- Participants produce probabilistic flare forecasts conforming to the file format (see below).
- Flare forecast files are accepted by anonymous ftp, within the relevant subdirectory. Forecast files will be processed at least every hour.
- The minimum requirement for participation is a probabilistic Full Disk Forecast for M and X bins. Active Region forecasts and C bins are also accepted.
- Required forecast information includes: Forecasting Method, Issue Time, Prediction Window Start/End Time, M and X flare Probability. For Active Region Forecasts, Region number, Location, and Time is also required. See below for details.
- All information is stored in a database and is made accessible to users via its public API.
- Probabilistic forecasts are displayed side by side on the "Flare Scoreboard" webapp.
Submission File Format
Flare forecasts will be accepted via JSON file uploaded to the CCMC FTP server:
Publication Policy
CCMC Rules of the Road [PDF]_ apply: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, flare model/technique developers and submitting forecasters before performing validation studies with the Flare Scoreboard database. It is recommended that such validation studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers._
For tracking purposes for our government sponsors, we ask that you notify the CCMC whenever you use any CCMC tools/software systems in any scientific publications and/or presentations. Follow the steps on the publication submission page
See our full publication policy for a sample 'acknowledgement statement' to be included in your publication.